Saturday, September 21, 2002 5:07 AM
Hand Evaluation – Visualization ( Patterns )
PITBULLS:
The most important concept by far in Bridge is “thinking in patterns” . Patterns are the DNA of Bridge. Bidding ,
opening leads , defense & declarer play evolve
from patterns. What do I mean
by that ? Years ago when I was teaching my ex wife how
to improve her game, I
made up a series of flash cards . These were a fill in the blanks tool . Each card had a bridge distribution on it with one suit
missing . I had
every possible suit distribution on those cards ( there
are not that many in reality ) One card
would have 5-4-1 and she would have to say 3 to fill in the pattern . Another
card would be 4-4-3 and she would have to say 2 . All
distributions should be so deeply implanted
in a good Bridge player that it is even beyond
second nature .
You think in patterns on defense , on bidding , opening leads & play of the hands . Good defenders are
always reviewing the bidding in
their minds to get a theoretical pattern
on which to base their defense. When the opponents have opened a spade , rebid hearts the
pattern is 5-4-2-2 , 5-4-3-1 or remotely 5-4-4-0 . Expert players go one step
further and throw in the HCP’s also .
With partners showing
proper count & reviewing the bidding , experts
should never be caught on a pseudo squeeze or in any defensive error. The pattern is
determined at an early stage so
declarer is just wasting everybodys time by running
her tricks . When you do not think in patterns
, you would have to have a prodigious memory
to keep track of things ! You might even
hang onto the 13th heart in a pseudo squeeze situation or otherwise bungle the defense !
These are the most common patterns
with their probabilities of occurrence ( table below )
. Not that many really . The 4 , 5 & 6
card patterns are the most frequently used & that is only 16 patterns . 60 % of all patterns
are the 4 & 5 card suit variety. Memorize
them !
This is a must
have skill to be an expert player …There are only 3 patterns where a 4 card suit is the longest. There are
only 6 patterns where a 5 card
suit is the longest & only 7 patterns
where a 6 card suit is the longest. Memorize them backwards
, forwards & then some !!!
Note the frequency of
occurrence of these hand distributions from the table below. If you memorize
4432 (21.5 %) , 4333 (10.5 % ) , 5431 ( 12.9 %)
5422 (10.5% ) 5332 ( 15.5%) 6421
(4.7%) , 6331 (3.4%) , 6322 ( 5.6%) , 5521 (3.1%) & 4441( 2.9 %) you have 90
% of all possible hands covered !!
These are only 10 patterns to memorize to cover 90 % of all possible
hands ( 39 hand patterns ) . Get with it !
Note how the table below is organized. The patterns are categorized ,
by the longest suit in the hand
pattern. There is a reason for this . Pre-empts at the
3 level bring in the 7 series of patterns as the starting point
of a tentative count.
Weak two’s or overcalls bring in the 6
series of patterns as a starting
point. Playing 5 card majors
brings in the 5 series as a start
to the tentative count. Balanced hands
may only have the 4 series of
hand patterns. Organize your thought process like the table below.
|
4441 2.993219 4432 21.551176 4333 10.536130 |
5530 0.895203 5521 3.173900 5440 1.243337 5431 12.930705 5422 10.579668 5332 15.516846 |
6610 0.072340 6520
0.651056 6511
0.705311 6430
1.326226 6421
4.702075 6331
3.448188 6322
5.642490 |
7600 0.005565 7510 0.108509 7420
0.361698 7411
0.391840 7330
0.265245 7321
1.880830 7222 0.512954 |
After
you have memorized the patterns , train you self to recognize the triggers in order actually apply them at the table.
The 1st trigger is whenever somebody shows out of a suit. This is a show stopper
so stop & apply a pattern ! When you are on lead , translate the bidding into a pattern . When
you lead ,
partner must translate your spot card
into a pattern . Count signals are
another trigger to apply a pattern. When somebody pre-empts or overcalls or opens the bidding,
that gives you some information
about their length , apply a pattern. It
may take you years to perfect the
habit
, but believe me
your game will jump at least one level.
I learned to “think in patterns” back in the early 1970’s so its 2nd
nature to me now. I can tell if partner does
not apply patterns in
their defense as they are “lost” while defending & have no plan. They
defend by instinct &
experience which is usually OK but in the crunch , they will not
defend properly. I played with a keen beginner the other night
& this hand came up as the dummy. ♠xx ♥xxxx ♦Kxx ♣Qxxx . We were defending 3NT , declarer cashed
the A & K of clubs with everyone following & then led the diamond queen
. My partner eyed the queen suspiciously & considered ducking it with her
Ace. She thought a bit but decided to take the trick. Disaster
! as declarer now made 3NT. She had 5 clubs
& did not know to count 5 plus 4 from the dummy equals 9 , so both partner &
declarer having two equals thirteen. This
type of counting is tiring & not much fun . It is so simple when you have 5-4-2-2 memorized & you “think in
patterns” . You duck the diamond automatically
as you know declarer
cannot get to the club queen for the 9th trick.
“Counting out a hand “ is
a Bridge term to describe the application of hand patterns. Here is a hand in
the world championship when a declarer did not “count out a
hand” so butchered the declarer play.
♠ Axxx ♥ xxx ♦ x ♣ Q109xx
♠ KQx ♥ AQx ♦ AJx ♣
Axxx
LHO overcalled a heart
& the final contract was 3NT. The diamond King was lead so declarer ducked.
The diamond queen was continued , declarer won the
diamond Ace. How do you continue ? A DNA analysis is required. Determine the
building blocks of the opponents hand at the “cell
level” . LHO bid hearts so give her 5 or 6 hearts . She led the diamond king & continued
with queen so give her at least 3 diamonds. 6-3 or 5-3 in the reds ? Using our microscope let’s get the exact DNA structure of LHO’s hand. We cash the K
& Q of spades & over to the Ace with LHO following to 3 of them ! 6-3-3-1 or possibly 6-4-3-0 ?
Either one club or no
clubs isn’t that interesting ? You are on
the board with the spade Ace so you lead the club 10 & let it ride. RHO had
KJx of clubs so you take 4 spades ,
4 clubs , 2 diamonds & a heart for +660. Our declarer went 3 down vul when RHO had 6 diamonds & she played the clubs
wrong starting with the Ace giving her time to establish the diamonds. Just a
14 IMP swing at the world championship level for not counting out a hand before attacking a key suit !