Thursday, January 05, 2006 3:26 PM

Hand Evaluation - Pre-empts ( Rule of 7 HCP )

 

PITBULLS:

 

            Bridge involves an element of intelligent risk taking or gambling. This is due to the element of probably in random events such as dealing cards. Pre-empts by the “nature of the beast” introduce an element of risk. Risk for the pre-empter but also a risk for the opponents who must bid over the pre-empts. You must have a very good hand to bid over pre-empts but you are allowed some leeway. You cannot base your bid on the assumption partner has nothing with the opponents holding all the remaining outstanding cards. This attitude would “paralyze” you & just hand victory to the pre-empter on a silver platter. When you bid over a pre-empt , the partnership must assume the bid is partially a “pre-balance” .

 

            The rule of thumb in bidding over pre-empts is to give partner 7 HCP  & bid accordingly. You are vul , they are not with you holding ♠x KJ1098x Axx ♣AKJ . They open 3 so do you overcall 4?? Ok , give partner her rightful 7 HCP. In this case the KQ of diamonds , with either the club queen or the heart queen. With these 7 HCP you can count 10 tricks with your hand !! You have 16 HCP , RHO may have the KQJ of spades with an outside queen. You have around 25 HCP’s accounted for between your hand & the pre-empter. Now the two unknown hands with 15 HCP’s unaccounted for. It is illogical to assume all the remaining HCP’s are in the opponents hand. The law of averages says that 7 HCP should fall in partner’s hand. You should “pre-balance” & bid accordingly.

 

            This is straight good risk taking. If LHO has most of the remaining HCP’s , you will be doubled & go for –800 losing 12 IMPS. If you pass , partner will not balance with her 7 HCP so you miss a vul game & lose 12 ! . It is the same gamble  !! It is more than that though, by passing 16 HCP  you set partner up for future disasters as she will stretch in the balancing spot to double with hands that she should not. You have now induced disasters by not taking the appropriate risk immediately.

 

            When you make a T/O double of a pre-empt , you take another bid based on partner holding her theoretical 7 HCP. You need a base on dealing with the unknown that a pre-empt creates. Assuming no HCP’s in partners hand after a pre-empt is illogical & unrealistic. The greatest fear is fear itself. If you do occur a disaster , congratulate the opponents by  saying nice pre-empt. However , your partners better have done the same damage at the other table. Partner should not punish you in a pre-emptive auction.

 

            A Tormentee held this hand tonight. Kxx Kxx x ♣QJxxxx  they opened 3 which partner doubled. What is your bid ? Reason this way . partner already assumes I have 7 HCP but I have two HCP’s extra . With the built in 7 HCP leeway , just bid 4♣ as partner will bid 5♣ on any excuse. It turns out if you leap to 5♣ , partner will bid 6♣ which has no play.

 

            Here is a hand from the Bridge World. J8764 void  AQJ1086 ♣A5 . You are vul , they are not. They open 1 , RHO pre-empts to 4. What do you do vul vrs not ? You are under pressure vul with nv opponents applying the heat. The majority of the panel voted for 4. Most people would not even overcall at the one level with this suit . Yet the majority of World class experts are bidding 4 directly vul vrs not at the 4 level . Why ? Well 10 HCP in hearts should be identified. You have a 6-5 with a void in their suit. Give partner her rightful 7 HCP in a pre-emptive auction & bid accordingly. RHO has shown nothing & LHO an opener. Partner should not punish you as she realizes you are under pressure. The panel joked & said 4 is a transfer to 4 on these auctions. If LHO slapped the double card on the table they would retreat to 5 etc. However Rodwell , Hammon , Wollf  etc bid 4 . Here is a weird answer form Zia “ 5. Too strong for 4 which I would bid with less of a chance of making a 5 level contract. 6-5’s are for bidding & not doubling. Wow !!